Siriusvs
AIK Stockholm
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sirius 1-2 AIK Stockholm
Original prediction
Sirius
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 59.2% | 64.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.5% | 18.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.80 | 19.3% | 16.7% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SiriusDWDWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AIK StockholmDLLDL
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SiriusAIK Stockholm
76.4Attack52.8
58.3Defence41.7
76.4Form47.2
71.4Power49.6
3.07xG1.13