GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sirijus Klaipėda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Sirijus Klaipėda are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Utenis Utena are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 4.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirijus Klaipėda hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Cup, while Sirijus Klaipėda holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sirijus Klaipėda

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

7.4%

Sirijus Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sirijus KlaipėdaLWLWL

GF 12 · GA 18 · avg 2.40/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Utenis UtenaLWL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 1.33/4.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Sirijus KlaipėdaUtenis Utena
33.3Attack0.0
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power7.0
2.46xG2.02
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