Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sirens 1-0 Zurrieq
Original prediction
Sirens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.8% | 50.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.7% | 22.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.4% | 27.6% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Sirens
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Sirens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SirensLLLWW
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ZurrieqWLWDW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SirensZurrieq
56.1Attack36.0
39.4Defence52.0
40.9Form46.7
46.7Power46.1
1.74xG1.21