Sirensvs
Tarxien Rainbows
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/24/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tarxien Rainbows · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sirens 1-2 Tarxien Rainbows
Original prediction
Tarxien Rainbows
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.7% | 26.9% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.3% | 24.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 48.8% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Tarxien Rainbows
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Tarxien Rainbows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20