Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sireți 0-2 Zimbru, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sireți 0-2 Zimbru
Original prediction
Zimbru
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.90 | 9.1% | 8.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 17.2% | 17.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.22 | 73.7% | 73.5% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Sireți 0–2 Zimbru
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SirețiDDDDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ZimbruWWWLW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SirețiZimbru
20.0Attack76.7
56.7Defence66.7
23.3Form66.7
36.1Power68.6
0.57xG2.05