GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Milsami Orhei · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Sireți 0-0 Milsami Orhei, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Sireți 1-2 Milsami Orhei

Original prediction

Milsami Orhei

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.6515.9%29.1%13.3 pts
Draw3.7723.8%29.5%5.8 pts
Away1.4860.4%41.3%-19.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.1 pts

Projected Score

Sireți 0–0 Milsami Orhei

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Milsami Orhei

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Milsami Orhei has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SirețiLLDDD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Milsami OrheiLWDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SirețiMilsami Orhei
19.4Attack30.6
52.8Defence55.6
19.4Form38.9
33.5Power43.7
0.81xG0.84
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