Siracusavs
Trapani 1905
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone I · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siracusa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Siracusa 1-1 Trapani 1905
Original prediction
Siracusa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.3% | 40.3% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 28.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.7% | 31.3% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Siracusa
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Siracusa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60