Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sioni · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sioni are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Gareji are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gareji hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Sioni holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sioni
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Sioni has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67