Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sion W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sion W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Thun W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 34.4 against 33.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Sion W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sion W
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Sion W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00