Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sion W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Luzern W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sion W hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40