Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Siofok are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pécsi MFC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pécsi MFC hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the NB II, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80