Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AVS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sintrense 0-2 AVS
Original prediction
AVS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.92 | 18.3% | 32.7% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 26.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.8% | 40.9% | -15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
AVS
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
AVS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SintrenseWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AVSDLWDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SintrenseAVS
44.4Attack16.7
33.3Defence83.3
66.7Form50.0
49.9Power53.0
1.54xG1.48