Sint Maartenvs
Belize
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belize · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sint Maarten 0-1 Belize
Original prediction
Belize
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.8% | 29.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 26.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.6% | 44.2% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Belize
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Belize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60