GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/6/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Singleton Strikers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Singleton StrikersLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Thornton RedbacksLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Singleton StrikersThornton Redbacks
37.0Attack52.2
22.2Defence26.1
33.3Form36.2
33.0Power39.1
1.81xG2.35
View match centre →