GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/16/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Singleton Strikers are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Singleton StrikersLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
Thornton RedbacksWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Singleton StrikersThornton Redbacks
37.0Attack52.2
22.2Defence26.1
33.3Form36.2
33.0Power39.1
1.81xG2.35
View match centre →