GGOALVIO

Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Simba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Singida Black Stars are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Simba are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and simba hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (65.0 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ligi kuu Bara, favouring Simba with 16.2% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Simba

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

16.2%

Simba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Singida Fountain GateLLWWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SimbaWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Singida Fountain GateSimba
51.1Attack65.6
72.2Defence72.2
66.7Form76.7
65.0Power72.0
0.89xG1.02
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