Singida Black Starsvs
Polisi Tanzania
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Singida Black Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Singida Black Stars 4-2 Polisi Tanzania
Original prediction
Singida Black Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 56.8% | 41.4% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 28.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 16.4% | 30.0% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Singida Black Stars
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Singida Black Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40