Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Singapore are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Thailand are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Thailand hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the ASEAN Championship, while Thailand holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thailand
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
9.0%
Thailand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60