GGOALVIO

Sweden · Svenska Cupen · 6/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Simrishamn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Olympic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympic hold a 58.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Svenska Cupen, while Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympic

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SimrishamnWDDLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
OlympicLDLWD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SimrishamnOlympic
0.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power65.7
1.41xG2.19
View match centre →