Simbavs
Young Africans
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Simba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Simba 2-1 Young Africans
Original prediction
Simba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.6% | 35.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.9% | 29.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 35.4% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Simba
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Simba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SimbaWWWWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Young AfricansWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SimbaYoung Africans
61.1Attack88.9
88.9Defence88.9
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power92.6
1.12xG1.11