Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Simba 2-0 Saint-Luc
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.1%
Model confidence
37.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SimbaWDLDL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Saint-LucDLLDD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SimbaSaint-Luc
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.17xG1.00