GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Silver Strikers · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Silver Strikers 1-0 Kamuzu Barracks, with an exact score probability of 22%.

Prediction record

Final result

Silver Strikers 0-0 Kamuzu Barracks

Original prediction

Silver Strikers

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3865.3%61.2%-4.2 pts
Draw3.9522.8%24.3%1.5 pts
Away7.6011.8%14.5%2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.2 pts

Projected Score

Silver Strikers 1–0 Kamuzu Barracks

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

Silver Strikers

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Silver Strikers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Silver StrikersWLLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Kamuzu BarracksDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Silver StrikersKamuzu Barracks
47.1Attack31.4
78.4Defence51.0
62.7Form25.5
62.4Power37.9
1.61xG0.37
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