Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Silkeborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Silkeborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Molde are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Silkeborg hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Silkeborg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Silkeborg
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Silkeborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00