Silifke Belediyesporvs
Niğde Belediyesispor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 3 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niğde Belediyesispor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Silifke Belediyespor 0-3 Niğde Belediyesispor
Original prediction
Niğde Belediyesispor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.1% | 27.0% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 24.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.3% | 48.1% | 18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Niğde Belediyesispor
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Niğde Belediyesispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00