Silifke Belediyesporvs
Karaköprü Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 3 · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karaköprü Belediyespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Silifke Belediyespor 1-2 Karaköprü Belediyespor
Original prediction
Karaköprü Belediyespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.81 | 23.5% | 19.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 22.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 50.9% | 57.5% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Karaköprü Belediyespor
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Karaköprü Belediyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60