Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tikveš · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sileks 0-0 Tikveš
Original prediction
Tikveš
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.2% | 31.7% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.6% | 24.5% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.2% | 43.8% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Tikveš
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SileksDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TikvešDWDDL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SileksTikveš
61.9Attack81.0
52.4Defence66.7
38.1Form57.1
48.1Power65.5
1.30xG1.84