Sileksvs
Shkëndija Haraçinë
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 10/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sileks · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sileks 1-0 Shkëndija Haraçinë, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sileks 2-0 Shkëndija Haraçinë
Original prediction
Sileks
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.7% | 54.8% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.5% | 26.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 6.52 | 13.8% | 19.0% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Sileks 1–0 Shkëndija Haraçinë
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sileks
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Sileks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SileksWDDDL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shkëndija HaraçinëLDLWW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SileksShkëndija Haraçinë
56.7Attack23.3
63.3Defence60.0
43.3Form46.7
52.3Power46.5
1.47xG0.51