GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/13/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sileks · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sileks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FK Rabotnicki are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sileks hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (76.5 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the First League, while Sileks holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sileks

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Sileks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SileksLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FK RabotnickiWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SileksFK Rabotnicki
100.0Attack29.3
83.3Defence65.7
66.7Form42.4
76.5Power47.9
1.26xG0.64
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