Sileksvs
Bregalnica Štip
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 9/13/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sileks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sileks 2-2 Bregalnica Štip
Original prediction
Sileks
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.0% | 58.3% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.69 | 19.2% | 21.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 8.36 | 10.8% | 19.9% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Sileks
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Sileks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SileksLLLWD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bregalnica ŠtipWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SileksBregalnica Štip
61.1Attack44.4
55.6Defence38.9
38.9Form33.3
48.5Power38.2
2.01xG1.09