Siheung Citizenvs
Pocheon
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Siheung Citizen 0-0 Pocheon, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Siheung Citizen 3-2 Pocheon
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.0% | 35.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.8% | 31.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.2% | 33.7% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Siheung Citizen 0–0 Pocheon
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.0%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Siheung CitizenWLLWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PocheonWDLDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Siheung CitizenPocheon
45.6Attack57.9
73.7Defence71.9
75.4Form68.4
68.2Power67.1
0.83xG0.83