GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Siheung Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Siheung Citizen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gyeongju HNP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Siheung Citizen hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the K3 League, while Siheung Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Siheung Citizen

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

16.6%

Siheung Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Siheung CitizenWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gyeongju HNPDLLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Siheung CitizenGyeongju HNP
44.0Attack33.3
56.0Defence61.9
46.4Form40.5
51.2Power47.2
1.09xG0.79
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