Sigma Olomoucvs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sigma Olomouc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sigma Olomouc 0-3 Sparta Praha
Original prediction
Sigma Olomouc
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 29.0% | 47.0% | 17.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.5% | 22.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 45.5% | 30.8% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Sigma Olomouc
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Sigma Olomouc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20