GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/28/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sigma Olomouc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sigma Olomouc are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Malmo FF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sigma Olomouc holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sigma Olomouc

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Sigma Olomouc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sigma OlomoucLLWLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Malmo FFDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Sigma OlomoucMalmo FF
0.0Attack41.7
16.7Defence29.2
0.0Form20.8
13.2Power33.7
1.79xG1.38
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