GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sigma Olomouc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sigma Olomouc 4-0 Žilina

Original prediction

Sigma Olomouc

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7551.9%48.3%-3.6 pts
Draw3.8223.8%25.3%1.5 pts
Away3.7324.3%26.4%2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–18%

Predicted outcome

Sigma Olomouc

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Sigma Olomouc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sigma OlomoucLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ŽilinaWDWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sigma OlomoucŽilina
55.6Attack84.6
72.2Defence38.5
66.7Form43.6
65.9Power51.4
2.37xG1.33
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