Sigma Olomouc IIvs
Vítkovice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/3/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vítkovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sigma Olomouc II 2-1 Vítkovice
Original prediction
Vítkovice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.7% | 34.6% | -18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 26.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 23.3% | 39.2% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Vítkovice
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Vítkovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60