Sigma Olomouc IIvs
Karviná II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/18/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sigma Olomouc II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sigma Olomouc II 3-1 Karviná II
Original prediction
Sigma Olomouc II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 66.8% | 60.8% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.2% | 18.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.0% | 20.3% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Sigma Olomouc II
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Sigma Olomouc II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20