GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 12/8/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Siegburger SV are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Frechen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Siegburger SVWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FrechenDWDLW

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Siegburger SVFrechen
49.4Attack78.2
54.0Defence62.1
46.0Form66.7
50.6Power66.5
1.20xG2.15
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