GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/1/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Siegburger SV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Siegburger SVLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bergisch GladbachLWWLL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Siegburger SVBergisch Gladbach
49.4Attack60.9
54.0Defence64.4
46.0Form66.7
50.6Power63.8
1.13xG1.66
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