GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sichuan Jiuniu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Yunnan Yukun are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yunnan Yukun hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sichuan JiuniuWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yunnan YukunLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sichuan JiuniuYunnan Yukun
45.5Attack65.2
37.9Defence37.9
34.8Form47.0
41.0Power51.5
1.78xG2.31
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