GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sichuan Jiuniu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sichuan Jiuniu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.0 against 41.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Super League, while Sichuan Jiuniu holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sichuan Jiuniu

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

10.7%

Sichuan Jiuniu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sichuan JiuniuLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Wuhan Three TownsDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sichuan JiuniuWuhan Three Towns
45.5Attack47.6
37.9Defence39.7
34.8Form31.7
41.0Power41.3
1.78xG1.63
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