GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenyang Urban · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sichuan Jiuniu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenyang Urban hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Super League, while Shenyang Urban holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenyang Urban

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Shenyang Urban has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sichuan JiuniuLLLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenyang UrbanLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sichuan JiuniuShenyang Urban
45.5Attack44.4
37.9Defence47.6
34.8Form38.1
41.0Power44.0
1.53xG1.54
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