Sichuan Jiuniuvs
SHANGHAI SIPG
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sichuan Jiuniu 0-1 SHANGHAI SIPG
Original prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 31.5% | 29.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.9% | 22.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 43.6% | 48.8% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
SHANGHAI SIPG
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40