Sichuan Jiuniuvs
Shanghai Shenhua
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sichuan Jiuniu 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua
Original prediction
Shanghai Shenhua
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 27.2% | 26.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.9% | 22.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 48.9% | 50.8% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Shenhua
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60