Sichuan Jiuniuvs
Henan Jianye
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/9/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Henan Jianye · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sichuan Jiuniu 2-2 Henan Jianye
Original prediction
Henan Jianye
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 33.1% | 34.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.4% | 26.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.5% | 39.5% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Henan Jianye
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Henan Jianye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00