GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sichuan Jiuniu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sichuan JiuniuLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Beijing GuoanDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
45.5Attack60.3
37.9Defence57.1
34.8Form54.0
41.0Power58.1
1.20xG2.17
View match centre →