GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 9/1/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sibenik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sibenik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Zrinski Jurjevac are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sibenik hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the First NL, while Sibenik holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sibenik

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Sibenik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SibenikWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Zrinski JurjevacWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 2.33/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
SibenikZrinski Jurjevac
68.7Attack53.5
81.8Defence81.8
82.8Form81.8
77.9Power73.6
1.10xG0.71
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