Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sibenik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sibenik are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vukovar are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sibenik hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the First NL, while Sibenik holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sibenik
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Sibenik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00