Sibenikvs
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 8/26/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sibenik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Sibenik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bsk Bijelo Brdo are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sibenik hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.5% in the First NL, while Sibenik holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sibenik
Probability
76.5%
Model confidence
76.5%
Sibenik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50