Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Home
LD
34
Full time
Resovia Rzeszów

Resovia Rzeszów

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg41%
Draw35%
Resovia Rzeszów24%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
41%
Draw
35%
Resovia Rzeszów
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
34
Resovia Rzeszów
73
Defence
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
46
Resovia Rzeszów
27
Momentum
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
17
Resovia Rzeszów
33
Danger (xG)
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0.90
Resovia Rzeszów
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.52 xG for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 1.64 xG for Resovia Rzeszów — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Siarka Tarnobrzeg holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Siarka Tarnobrzeg's Attack Score (34) exceeds Resovia Rzeszów's Defensive Stability (27), and Resovia Rzeszów's attack (73) similarly tests Siarka Tarnobrzeg's defence (46). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.16 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Siarka Tarnobrzeg)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Resovia Rzeszów)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Siarka Tarnobrzeg)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Resovia Rzeszów)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Siarka TarnobrzegSiarka Tarnobrzeg
LD
Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów
D

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Siarka Tarnobrzeg41%
Draw35%
Resovia Rzeszów24%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg host Resovia Rzeszów in Friendlies Clubs. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have recorded LLLWDL in recent matches while Resovia Rzeszów arrive with a run of WWLWWL. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 4.3 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.52 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 1.64 for Resovia Rzeszów. The gap of 0.88 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg have been conceding 1.51 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

L
vs Wisła Kraków II
16 May 2026
12
D
@ Stal Kraśnik
13 May 2026
11
Resovia Rzeszów

Resovia Rzeszów

D
vs Stal Stalowa Wola
15 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Resovia Rzeszów?

GoalVio's model predicts Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Resovia Rzeszów?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Resovia Rzeszów?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Resovia Rzeszów?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more