Siarka Tarnobrzegvs
Jarosław
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siarka Tarnobrzeg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-3 Jarosław
Original prediction
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Siarka TarnobrzegWLDLD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
JarosławLLDWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Siarka TarnobrzegJarosław
55.6Attack44.4
66.7Defence22.2
44.4Form11.1
54.9Power29.5
2.18xG1.16